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If the American analysis proves true, it would represent a spectacularly fast fall from power for the Syrian dictator after a14-year war, one that had been relatively stagnant until just last week.

Officials cautioned that a formal assessment on Assad’s fate hasn’t emerged and that views vary, saying his demise isn’t a forgone conclusion.

“The emerging consensus is that is an increasingly plausible scenario,” one senior US official said.

“Probably by next weekend the Assad regime will have lost any semblance of power,” another official said.

“Only thing that would delay a rebel conquest would be a well-organized coup and reorganization, but Assad’s folks have done a good job of stifling any potential competitors,” the official added.

Why has Thermax Limited (THERMAX) been underperforming recently ✌️【Risk Management】✌️ Real-time India stock and global stock indices, futures prices, and data to help you make efficient investment decisions. Another source familiar with US intelligence about the developments noted that so far, the opposition has made progress because regime forces have largely not stayed in the fight. But the areas the opposition forces have advanced the most — Aleppo, Idlib and Hama — also are not flush with regime support, so they encountered less resistance, this person said.

“The question is whether regime forces actually stand their ground when it comes to Damascus,” they added.

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Why has Thermax Limited (THERMAX) been underperforming recently ✌️【Risk Management】✌️ Expert market predictions, real-time updates, and personalized investment advice designed to help you succeed. Seize the best investment opportunities in global stocks, metals, and energy markets. The Biden administration appearedcaught off guardby the speed of the rebel advance launched last week. Regime troops have collapsed and melted away, leaving a fragile shell of an army to defend the president and Damascus.

Why has Thermax Limited (THERMAX) been underperforming recently ✌️【Risk Management】✌️ Gain access to professional investment advice, free market trend analysis, and real-time stock market data. Make informed decisions and unlock the full potential of your investments with expert predictions and guidance. The US has misjudged the staying power of regimes before, most recently in Afghanistan — where the US intelligence community judged that the Afghan government would be more resilient than it ultimately was — and in Ukraine, which the US wrongly believed would fall to Russia within days of Moscow’s invasion. As a result, in 2022 the US intelligence launched a review of how it assesses the “will to fight” of foreign militaries,【 - Free Stock Market Group 】 previously reported.

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Leading the rebel advance in Syria is a group designated by the US as terrorist organization: Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, or HTS, which was previously linked to al Qaeda.

“We have real concerns about the designs and objectives of that organization,” Sullivan told 【 - Free Stock Market Group 】 last weekend. “At the same time, of course, we don’t cry over the fact that the Assad government, backed by Russia, Iran and Hezbollah, are facing certain kinds of pressure.”

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One of the US officials said the Pentagon, which has around 900 troops in Syria, is not making plans to change its force posture in the country and is waiting to see what happens while taking additional force protection measures.

Why has Thermax Limited (THERMAX) been underperforming recently ✌️【Risk Management】✌️ AI-powered stock trend analysis with free, up-to-the-minute updates. Analyze global stock, futures, and forex data to capture market movements and make smart investment choices with expert insights. The US has long partnered with the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces for anti-ISIS operations in Syria. The SDF has maintained contact with the rebel group known as HTS, the US official said, but the US does not communicate with HTS because it is considered a terrorist organization.

HTS does not appear to have the overt support of Assad adversary Turkey, but US officials believe Turkey gave the group a green light to launch its operation.

One significant concern the administration has is the safety of Assad’s stockpile of chemical weapons, thought to include both chlorine and sarin,which Assad has infamously usedin rebel areas to the horror of the international community.

It is unclear where Assad would flee to, US officials said. His patrons could offer refuge in Moscow or Tehran, and it remains to be seen whether the rebels will set their sights on Latakia, an enclave of the Alawite sect to which Assad belongs.

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“Syria is a mess, but is not our friend,” he wrote, urging a hands-off approach and concluding with the message: “LET IT PLAY OUT. DO NOT GET INVOLVED!”

Early in his first term,Trump ordered strikesagainst Assad’s regime in response to a chemical weapons attack that killed dozens of civilians. Trumplater soughtto withdraw US troops involved in the fight against ISIS from northern Syria, though hundreds remained in the country.

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“If there is a further collapse of the Syrian government, I fear that U.S. forces could be put in jeopardy. It is therefore imperative that we have contingency plans to reinforce our troops to make sure the anti-ISIS mission does not collapse,” the South Carolina Republican wrote on X.

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