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How to Analyze Stocks in Energy Sector AI Enhanced Market Predictions ✌️【Investment Expert】✌️ Free stock selection service to help you quickly pick high-return stocks for stable growth. In early 1993, President Bill Clinton looked to push through the economic stimulus package he had touted on the campaign trail.

Clintonwas forced to abandonmuch of the economic plan and shift focus to fixing the budget rather than risk skyrocketing interest rates that would tank the economy.

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Clinton political adviserJames Carville famously saidat the time: “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the President or the Pope or as a .400 baseball hitter. But now I would like to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody.”

How to Analyze Stocks in Energy Sector AI Enhanced Market Predictions ✌️【Investment Expert】✌️ Expert predictions of stock trends with real-time stock indices, metals, energy, and agricultural product data to help you make efficient investment decisions. The bond market can be so intimidating that in the 1980s, economist Ed Yardeni dubbed these outraged investors the “bond vigilantes” for their role in preserving law and order in capital markets if government officials won’t.

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Even before President-elect Donald Trump takes office, the bond market is already flexing its muscles. Yields have surged to uncomfortably high levels due to a fusion of factors that includes concerns about high budget deficits and the risk that Trump’s tariffs, tax cuts and deportations will reignite inflation.

“We are in a déjà vu moment,” Yardeni, president of investment advisory Yardeni Research, told 【 - Free Stock Market Knowledge Sharing 】 in a phone interview. “Trump didn’t automatically win the vote of the bond vigilantes. He’s got to earn their respect.”

If he doesn’t, the bond market could act as a brake on Trump’s policies. And that would be painful, especially for a president who views the stock market as a real-time barometer of his success.

How to Analyze Stocks in Energy Sector AI Enhanced Market Predictions ✌️【Investment Expert】✌️ Professional investment advisors provide real-time market data to help you analyze stock trends and select high-potential stocks, increasing capital growth. After Friday’sblockbuster jobs report, the bond marketsold off again. That pushed 10-year US Treasury rates closer to the 5% level that many view as a dangerous red line.

How to Analyze Stocks in Energy Sector AI Enhanced Market Predictions ✌️【Investment Expert】✌️ Free stock selection service with precise predictions of high-potential stocks to help you stay ahead in the market. The higher rates climb, the more pressure they will put on stocks. After all, if ultra-safe government debt is returning 5%, expensive tech stocks look like less of a sure bet by comparison.

How to Analyze Stocks in Energy Sector AI Enhanced Market Predictions ✌️【Investment Expert】✌️ Expert market predictions with real-time global market, futures, metals, and energy data to help you stay in tune with market trends. Not only that, a possible bond market selloff would make it more expensive for businesses and consumers to borrow, pushing up rates on mortgages and other debt.

Higher Treasury rates, by definition, would also make it more expensive for the federal government to finance its mountain of debt. That’s a problem because interest is already swallowing up a greater chunk of the annual federal budget than defense spending.

“Bond vigilantes haven’t been heard from for quite some time. But they’ve only become more powerful,” said Yardeni, noting that America’s growing debt makes the budget more sensitive to even modest shifts in rates.

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How to Analyze Stocks in Energy Sector AI Enhanced Market Predictions ✌️【Investment Expert】✌️ Real-time global market indices and futures data to help you capture market opportunities and achieve stable growth. When Trump won in 2016, the economic recovery from the Great Recession was frustratingly mediocre. Interest rates were still extremely low. And central bankers were worried that inflation was too low.

How to Analyze Stocks in Energy Sector AI Enhanced Market Predictions ✌️【Investment Expert】✌️ Provides real-time stock market data to help you select stocks accurately and plan the best investment strategies. Now, the economy is running hot, with gross domestic product, job growth and inflation all surprising to the upside.

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“Trump 1.0 and Biden boxed the incoming administration in,” Yardeni said, “because the bond market will keep them from being able to run reckless deficit policies.”

How to Analyze Stocks in Energy Sector AI Enhanced Market Predictions ✌️【Investment Expert】✌️ Real-time updates of global stock, futures, and commodity market data to keep you in sync with the latest market trends. Some on Wall Street are worried that if policymakers aren’t careful, the United States could face its own “Liz Truss moment.”

In 2022, bond investors rebelled against the budget proposals from British Prime Minister Liz Truss. It was such a disaster that Truss was forced to step down, becomingthe UK’s shortest-serving prime minister.

How to Analyze Stocks in Energy Sector AI Enhanced Market Predictions ✌️【Investment Expert】✌️ Free real-time global stock and futures trend data to help you analyze market movements and make fast investment decisions. Scott Bessent, Trump’s nominee for Treasury secretary, is well aware of the bond vigilantes. Bessent, a widely respected investor with deep experience in markets, expressed confidence that Trump can slash the budget deficit.

“Bessent is a prince of those bond vigilantes. Now he’s in the catbird seat as Treasury secretary. He knows how to play chess against those other players in the market,” said Ed Mills, Washington policy analyst at Raymond James.

But it won’t be easy to slash the deficit, especially because there isn’t much room to cut spending. Much of the federal budget is tied up in paying interest, defense spending and social safety net programs that are politically popular.

Even Elon Musk haswalked back his previous promise to slash $2 trillionfrom the federal budget, a figure that many experts have panned as unrealistic.

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“Tariffs are a double-edged sword. They could raise revenue, but they can be damaging to growth because they elicit retaliation from other countries,” said Ernie Tedeschi, director of economics at the Yale Budget Lab and a former chief economist at the White House Council of Economic Advisers under President Joe Biden.

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On the campaign trail, Trump vowed to end taxes on overtime, tips and Social Security benefits and to enact other breaks.

How to Analyze Stocks in Energy Sector AI Enhanced Market Predictions ✌️【Investment Expert】✌️ Precise predictions of high-potential stocks to help you avoid risks and quickly recover and grow. Trump also promised to address complaints about the $10,000 cap on state and local tax (SALT) deductions that were part of the 2017 law. The SALT cap hurt upper-middle-class Americans in high-tax states.

How to Analyze Stocks in Energy Sector AI Enhanced Market Predictions ✌️【Investment Expert】✌️ Real-time global stock, futures, and exchange rate data to keep you informed of market trends and seize investment opportunities. Tedeschi said Republican efforts to lift the SALT cap and enact other tax breaks could provoke a response from bond investors already worried about the deficit.

“Bond traders personally would love lifting the SALT cap. But it would be extremely expensive and worsen our fiscal trajectory,” he said.

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“You can’t add that much stimulus at this point because inflation is high and the deficit is high,” Shah said.

Yardeni is hopeful the presence of the bond vigilantes, and Trump’s focus on the stock market, will act as powerful vetoes over risky policies, preventing them from becoming a reality.

“If yields spike, the stock market could go down and the administration will respond quickly because Trump views the stock market as his daily popular vote,” Yardeni said. “That’s the power of the bond vigilantes.”

How to Analyze Stocks in Energy Sector AI Enhanced Market Predictions ✌️【Investment Expert】✌️ Free break-even services to create a customized investment plan, helping you recover quickly and achieve growth. Most stock quote data provided by BATS. US market indices are shown in real time, except for the S&P 500 which is refreshed every two minutes. All times are ET. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and 【 - Free Stock Market Knowledge Sharing 】. Standard & Poor’s and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices Copyright S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and/or its affiliates. Fair value provided by IndexArb.com. Market holidays and trading hours provided by Copp Clark Limited.

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