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“The strong jobs report sent yields higher amid expectations for the Fed to pause its rate cutting cycle for a significant period of time,” Ross Mayfield, an investment strategist at Baird, wrote in a note Friday.
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“The better-than-expected increase in jobs caused an immediate reaction in both stocks and bonds, with prices moving lower (and bond yields moving higher, as yields move inversely with price), as the Federal Reserve has even less of a reason to cut interest rates this year,” wrote Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Northlight Asset Management, in a note Friday.
Following the stronger-than-expected December employment data and concerns about resurgent inflation, Wall Street is adjusting its expectations for the Fed’s rate-cutting path this year.
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“We think the cutting cycle is over,” Aditya Bhave, senior US economist at Bank of America, said in a report. “Inflation is stuck above target, with upside risks … The conversation should move to hikes, which could be in play.”
How to Use Technical Analysis for Indian Stock Trading Profitable Market Insights ✌️【Easy Path to Wealth】✌️ Real-time stock and futures data, backed by expert stock market trend predictions, to help you make timely and profitable investment decisions. At a press conference in December, Fed Chair Jerome Powell was asked by reporters if he could rule out potential rate hikes in 2025.
“You don’t rule things completely in or out … in this world,” Powellsaid, before noting “that doesn’t appear to be a likely outcome.”
However, analysts at Morgan Stanley expect the Fed to cut rates in March, highlighting diverging forecasts on Wall Street.
“The report should reduce the probability of near-term Fed cuts, though our more favorable outlook on inflation keeps us thinking a March cut is still more likely than not,” analysts at Morgan Stanley said in a note.
“The big question is to what extent is the Fed thinking about immigration and tariff policy that is yet to be implemented,” Mayfield said.
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How to Use Technical Analysis for Indian Stock Trading Profitable Market Insights ✌️【Easy Path to Wealth】✌️ Real-time stock market data, precise predictions, and investment strategies to help you optimize your portfolio and achieve financial success. Most stock quote data provided by BATS. US market indices are shown in real time, except for the S&P 500 which is refreshed every two minutes. All times are ET. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and 【 - Free Investment Portfolio Suggestions 】. Standard & Poor’s and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices Copyright S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and/or its affiliates. Fair value provided by IndexArb.com. Market holidays and trading hours provided by Copp Clark Limited.
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