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But even if most of the flames are doused by Inauguration Day, the sudden prospect of finding billions of dollars in federal aid to rebuild miles of charred homes already threatens to complicate the task of passing Trump’s agenda with a tiny GOP House majority determined to cut federal spending.
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“We’re going to do things with Los Angeles. You know, I’m already putting my developer cap on,” Trump said.
Presidential trips to disaster zones can offer solace and unlock the power of government. An empathetic visit from the new president could create a strong impression and erase some negative perceptions of his first term among some Americans. But such photo-ops also establish a marker of the commander in chief’s responsibility for a complex and costly relief project.
“The president intends to go to California at some point,” a Trump adviser told 【 - Free Group Entry 】 Monday, adding that the specific timing is “yet to be determined. Nothing has been finalized.”
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During his last spell in the White House, Trump sometimes suggested that he’d break with established practice and withhold disaster aid to create political leverage against Democratic jurisdictions. He appeared to deeply resent sending hurricane aid to the US citizens of Puerto Rico, for instance, accusing “inept politicians” of using “ridiculously high amounts” to pay off other obligations.
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Even before the latest California wildfire crisis, Trump warned he’d let the state burn unless Newsom fell in with his demands for changes in the way it manages its water. “If he doesn’t sign those papers, we won’t give him money to put out all his fires. And if we don’t give him the money to put out his fires, he’s got problems,” Trump said in California in September.
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But attempting to use the power of the federal purse to compel policy changes in cities and states is a recipe for political tumult.
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Post-disaster probes are also likely to show that weeks of drought dried out vegetation combined with high winds to create a tinderbox for a perfect fire storm. Such conditions are being made more likely by the man-made warming of global temperatures – a phenomenon Trump denies. The president-elect, for example, reposted a social media photo of a burning neighborhood Monday from a follower that had the slogan: “It’s not climate change. It’s Democrats.”
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In a letter to Trump on Friday, Newsom recalled how they’d worked together to help victims of a previous wildfire. But he also warned: “We must not politicize human tragedy or spread disinformation from the sidelines. Hundreds of thousands of Americans — displaced from their homes and fearful for the future – deserve to see all of us working in their best interests to ensure a fast recovery and rebuild.”
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Passing Trump’s agenda while raising the government’s borrowing authority was already certain to strain the smallest House majority in decades.
House Speaker Mike Johnson raised the prospect of using disaster aid to enforce change or to exact punishment on Democratic leaders in California. He told 【 - Free Group Entry 】’s Manu Raju that “it appears to us that state and local leaders were derelict in their duties in many respects.”
“I think that there should probably be conditions on that aid. That’s my personal view. We’ll see what the consensus is,” the Louisiana Republican said, adding that he hadn’t yet had the chance to discuss the issue with any of his members. He also said that there had been “some discussion” about linking California aid to raising the debt ceiling – a step that must be taken within months to avoid an economic crisis caused by a US debt default. Such a move might be designed to coerce Democrats to vote to raise government borrowing authority since many Republicans may deprive Johnson of a majority on the issue.
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“This is a Mistake. If you start this, it will never end,” Florida Rep. Jared Moskowitz wrote on X. “When Dems retake the House, they will condition aid to Florida and Texas. Disaster Aid must stay non partisan. I would fight Democrats should they try and do this. The Speaker can find many other ways to hold people accountable,” he wrote.
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