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If the ongoing negotiations overPresident Joe Biden’s Build Back Better agendawere a game show, it would not be called “Deal or No Deal.” Rather, it would be “Deal or End American Democracy.” The stakes are much more than an historic opportunity to cut child poverty, expand Medicare, lower the cost of childcare, prescription drugs and higher education, and more.
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Looming above all of those policy goals is an existential issue: If the Democrats fail, it could send our democracy into a death spiral. Republicans could take the House; Trump could take the GOP presidential nomination, and those two forces could combine to finish what theinsurrectionists set out to do on January 6.
Earlier this month, my sons and I went on a wilderness trip to Montana. No phones, no electricity, no modern amenities. No news was truly good news. In addition to reconnecting with nature – and my remarkable kids – I had the time and space to contemplate the bigger picture for our beloved country.
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Constitutionalists, led by the redoubtableLiz Cheney(R-WY) want to honor elections and enact their conservative policies the old-fashioned way – by earning more votes than the Democrats.
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On Fox News Sunday this week, the second-ranking House Republican, Steve Scalise of Louisiana,refused to speakthe simple truth that Biden won the election fair and square.
Chuck Grassley, the senior-most Republican in the Senate who has long been known for his flinty independence, stunned some observersby praising Trump’s rolein the alleged January coup.
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Heading into the 2022 midterms, the GOP has two immutable advantages: history, and the district maps.History tells us, over the last 50 years, a newly-elected president’s party loses an average of 28 seats in its first midterm.
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Biden’s popularity is even more uncertain. As I write this, arecent Gallup pollhas Biden’s approval underwater, with 43% of Americans supporting Joe and 53% opposing him. To put it into perspective,his predecessorwas also at 44% approval going into the 2018 midterms; he lost 40 House seats. Barack Obama’s approval was 45% in 2010; he lost 63 seats. And my old boss Bill Clinton had 48% support in 1994; he lost 52 seats.
But here’s the thing, Democrats. You have the power to make the economy stronger. You also have the ability to make the President more popular.By passing his damn agenda.The latestCBS poll quantifieswhat all of us know: the content of Biden’s agenda is wildly popular. Sixty-seven percent support universal pre-K. Sixty-one percent support free community college. Seventy-three percent support paid family and medical leave. Eighty-four percent support Medicare coverage for dental, vision, and hearing. And 88% support lowering prescription drug prices under Medicare – 88%, people.
You can’t get nine out of ten Americans to support almost anything in these divided, tribal, negative times. But Biden has done it. He has put together an agenda that is overwhelmingly popular – paid for by taxing the rich and big corporations (which garners the support of more than two-thirds of all Americans).
Despite the stunning popularity of Biden’s agenda, only one in ten Americans (in that same CBS poll) say they know a lot about what’s in it. And, let’s face it, that is high – a lot of folks probably said they knew what was in it when they really didn’t. The infighting, the backbiting, the nail-biting on Capitol Hill – that gets all the attention.
Democratic moderates whine about wanting to pass the infrastructure bill right away and put off the health, education and childcare package for later. Whatever. Leftists complain moderates are trimming the price tag. But even the supposedly “moderate” $2 trillion social spending bill would, when combined with the already-enacted American Rescue Plan and the infrastructure bill, amount to $5 trillion in spending. Five. Trillion. To put that into perspective, $5 trillion was the entire American Gross Domestic Productin 1987. When you’re talking about spending an amount equal to the totality of the American economy under President Reagan, you’re talking real money.
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It would make raising children easier, getting an education cheaper, taking life-saving medicine more affordable. It would also boost both the economy and Biden’s anemic approval ratings, the only two things that can stave off an electoral disaster in 2022 and perhaps worse in 2024.
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