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For Democrats, it all seems within their grasp as this first debate, hosted by 【 - Free Real-Time Trading Opportunities 】, kicks off, and the first question is one for which Biden has had months to prepare.

“What do you say to voters who say they are worse off under your presidency than they were under President Trump?” Jake Tapper says, sharing the moderators’ desk with Dana Bash.

“We’ve got to take a look at what I was left when I became president.” Biden rises to the challenge. “Things were in chaos… the economy collapsed!”

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In a green room behind the scenes, Trump’s team is poised for problems. Their man arrived early and seemed at ease posing for photos and strolling into the studio that normally hosts a show about major league baseball. He had walked through days of debate preparations, but he was expected to rely mainly on his instinct for a quick line, an insult, or headline-grabbing statement. Yet, 【 - Free Real-Time Trading Opportunities 】’s Kristen Holmes, who is covering Trump, says his camp knows the risks lurking onstage. “There were nerves going into this debate that Trump was going to tank. That he was going to lose his cool, that he was going to freak out.”

Biden’s team is also unsettled. The president pulled in late — as he often does — nursing a cold his staff will not acknowledge until later. He’s been well-coached, but under a cloud. Just over two weeks before the clash, his son Hunter was convicted of three felony gun charges. Biden has never hidden his affection for his family.

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For months, conservative critics have said Biden’s physical and mental health are failing. They’ve accused top Democrats, even Cabinet members, of hiding his decline. Biden’s defenders have dismissed the imputations as claptrap, more unhinged conspiracy theories from the far right.

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For more than an hour, Biden struggles. He makes clear, coherent points. But each time he finds his footing, he rapidly falls back into mangled sentences and muddled thoughts. Trump dodges questions, parades his thin grasp of policy, and spews his boilerplate falsehoods. But he does it with vigor, smirking at his suffering opponent. One particularly disjointed answer by Biden tees up the clip of the night when Trump replies, “I really don’t know what he said at the end, and I don’t think he knows what he said either.”

Backstage, Trump’s team is celebrating. “They were really happy. They were relieved,” Holmes says, but “they did not realize the impact that moment was going to have.”

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Before the debate, enthusiasm seemed unshakeable in the ride-or-die community of the real estate mogul turned reality TV star turned president. Now the energy is supercharged. The GOP that once embraced Ronald Reagan’s elegant, Puritan vision of America as a “shining city on a hill” is mesmerized by Trump’s battlefield ethos where the goal is not mere victory but a sweeping purge of all apostates. Pointing out how far-removed Trump is from traditional conservative philosophy has become heresy, and transgressors are cast into the political wilderness. 【 - Free Real-Time Trading Opportunities 】 Political Director David Chalian sums up the Trump effect in a sentence: “He changed the Republican party and made it into his image.”

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On the trail, Holmes sees growing swagger in the Trump team. “I would say that there was a time period in which it felt like Donald Trump couldn’t lose,” she says. “They say that they were never 100% sure (but) it seemed as though he was headed back to the White House.”

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Just consider Trump’s stance as summer dawned. A tidal wave of legal charges had inundated him with allegations of classified document hoarding, election meddling, sexual assault and more. Aides, associates and rioters by the score had been jailed for efforts on his behalf. But Trump, who denied any wrongdoing, ridiculed his accusers, defied gag orders, called the justice system corrupt, and turned his mug shots into fundraising coffee mugs. His poll numbers in the GOP primary held.

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Yet the billionaire ex-president never misses a chance to gripe about how badly the world treats him. “Donald Trump knows how to turn every moment into victimhood,” pollster Frank Luntz notes on 【 - Free Real-Time Trading Opportunities 】. “He’s claiming that he’s a victim. He’s claiming that entire force of the government is being used against him.”

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Lounging in his golf cart with the debate in the rearview and a “47” on his sleeve, Trump is enjoying a round in Florida when he takes a swing at punditry. “That old, broken-down pile of crap?” he calls the president of the United States in a cell phone video. “He’s quitting the race.”

Democratic anxiety keeps growing. After all, Trump has never won the popular vote, yet he defeated Hillary Clinton and nearly bested Biden thanks to the tilting power of the Electoral College. Now, with Biden’s weak numbers softening even more, Trump is gaining an edge in every battleground. Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

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He spins into his stump speech, backed and flanked by bleachers packed with supporters. He promises better days for this place where manufacturing once ruled, casts millions of immigrants as criminals and mental patients, and pledges to reclaim a stolen country for the roaring crowd.

But minutes in, barely beyond the edges of the conservative Xanadu, some people finally notice something odd: A man in a place where he should not be, acting in a way that does not fit the mood.

Onlookers flag security as Trump’s voice echoes. A few officers appear, trotting uncertainly toward the interloper.

“My wife ran up to law enforcement, was trying to tell them, you know, where he was,” Mike DiFrischia will latertell 【 - Free Real-Time Trading Opportunities 】’s Erin Burnett, “but they couldn’t seem to see him because they weren’t in the right spot.”

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“He researched Donald Trump, he researched Joe Biden, he researched a number of other people,” says John Miller, 【 - Free Real-Time Trading Opportunities 】 chief law enforcement and intelligence analyst, “but then he became singularly focused … once he saw that Donald Trump was coming to a town really near where he lived.”

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Conspiracy theories rise like mushrooms after rain. Some argue the whole affair was a “false flag” operation staged to gain sympathy for Trump. Others insist it was a real assassination attempt orchestrated by his political rivals. There is no evidence for any of that.

President Biden calls Trump, who in turn describes the gesture as “very nice.” On television, Biden says, “A former president was shot, an American citizen killed while simply exercising his freedom to support the candidate of his choosing. We cannot — must not — go down this road in America.”

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But like so much that could have gone so badly for Trump, within moments of the gunfire on the Pennsylvania plains, the master showman seizes an opportunity to build on the momentum of his long, remarkable summer. As agents push him to a black SUV, he turns to the crowd, blood running down his face, and framed by an American flag, punches his fist to the sky and shouts.

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