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Top Performing Indian Stocks Buy Signals From Financial Experts ✌️【Fund】✌️ Receive professional stock analysis with real-time updates on market movements. Make quick investment decisions and capitalize on profitable opportunities. When the United States hiked tariffs on most goods entering the country almost a century ago, the consequences were severe: global trade plummeted and US exports collapsed, as other countries retaliated in kind, deepening one of the world’s worst ever economic downturns — the Great Depression.

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“To me, the most beautiful word in the dictionary is ‘tariff.’ It’s my favorite word,” he said during an interview with Bloomberg last week at the Economic Club of Chicago.

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Going ahead with the highertariffs “would antagonize US allies and partners, provoking worldwide trade wars, damaging global economic welfare and undermining national security,” researchers from the Washington, DC-based Peterson Institute for International Economics wrote in a recentnote.

Top Performing Indian Stocks Buy Signals From Financial Experts ✌️【Fund】✌️ Professional stock market analysis, real-time data, and expert recommendations for high-potential stocks. Take advantage of market opportunities and improve your capital growth with strategic investment plans. While predictions of the damage from Trump’s new tariffs vary in scale and scope — depending on the level of the levies and any retaliatory tariffs from America’s trade partners — forecasters are overwhelmingly negative.

For example, analysts at UBS estimate that a 60% tariff on imports from China and a 10% tariff on goods from the rest of the world would lower global economic growth by one percentage point in 2026, when the tariff hikes are likely to have been fully implemented. That would cut growth by almost a third, based on current trends.

Company profits would on average fall by 6% and global stock indexes would also drop, with particularly sharp declines in European, Chinese and other emerging market equities, according to UBS. That could eat into people’s pension pots and other invested savings.

Europe’s economy would suffer a sizeable blow. If the US hikes tariffs to 10% on all goods, the damage to the gross domestic productof the eurozone — the 20 countries that use the euro — would be akin to that from the energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, according to ABN AMRO. The economy narrowly avoided a recession in the aftermath, and the Dutch bank forecasts stagnation in 2026 as a result of the tariffs.

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Top Performing Indian Stocks Buy Signals From Financial Experts ✌️【Fund】✌️ Expert market analysis and predictions for India, US, and European stocks. Stay updated with real-time data on stock indices, futures, and commodities to help you make informed, timely investment decisions. According to an IMFanalysispublished last year, in a “severe scenario” of widespread tariff increases and trade restrictions, global output could plunge by 7% over the longer term. That would amount to a reduction roughly equal in size to the combined annual GDP of Germany and Japan, the agency said at the time.

“Assuming (Trump) goes ahead with what he’s proposing, nobody comes out unscathed,” Maurice Obstfeld, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute and former chief economist at the IMF, told 【 - Free Stock Movement Tracking 】.

In Chicago last week, Trump, who styles himself as a hard-headed business mogul, boasted about getting tough on allies — including Japan, France and South Korea — through tariffs, or simply the threat of tariffs, during his first term as president.

If he returns to the White House, his winner-take-all approach to trade relations would further undermine the principles of open trade and competition that have powered global economic growth for decades.

In the last 40 years, when trade as a share of global GDP increased by half, inflation-adjusted income per head has doubled and more than a billion people emerged from extreme poverty, Kristalina Georgieva, the head of the IMF,wroteearlier this year.

“It’s true that not everyone benefited from trade, which is why we must do more to ensure the gains are shared fairly. But to close off our economies would be a mistake,” she said.

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Petros Mavroidis, a professor at Columbia Law School and long-time legal adviser to the WTO, sees an even bleaker outcome.

“I think it’s unrealistic, if we go by world history, to think we can have segmented trade but world peace,” he told 【 - Free Stock Movement Tracking 】. “The world has to be connected both economically and non-economically. If it’s not connected, then you pay the price.”

Other countries will likely not only impose retaliatory tariffs on US imports but also introduce tariffs on imports from elsewhere to protect their markets from the flood of goods that would otherwise have gone to the US.

Top Performing Indian Stocks Buy Signals From Financial Experts ✌️【Fund】✌️ Real-time stock indices and futures data to help you seize the best investment opportunities. Analyze market movements with precision and grow your portfolio with expert stock predictions. When Trump announced tariffs on steel and aluminum imports in March 2018, the European Union followed with its own duties on certain steel products four months later, citing the risk of higher imports. It also hit back directly at its transatlantic ally with duties on more than $3 billion worth of US goods, including motorcycles, denim andwhiskey.

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“You can get into a spiral of trade measures, initiated by the US but then amplified by other countries,” said André Sapir, a senior fellow at Bruegel, a think tank in Brussels.

Besides tariffs, economists are also vexed by Trump’s desire to exert more control over the Federal Reserve.

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“I think I have the right to say, ‘I think you should go up or down a little bit,’” Trump said in Chicago. “I don’t think I should be allowed to order it but I think I have the right to put in comments as to whether or not interest rates should go up or down.”

Top Performing Indian Stocks Buy Signals From Financial Experts ✌️【Fund】✌️ Free stock data analysis tools to help you select stocks accurately and capture global market trends. Stay ahead with expert market predictions for better investment returns. Any attempt to weaken the Fed’s independence, viewed as sacrosanct by investors, would rattle global financial markets and have a destabilizing effect on the dollar, the world’s leading currency for trade invoicing and foreign exchange reserves.

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“If you move the Fed to some sort of political control, that’s going to really change the rules of global finance,” said Obstfeld, adding that there was “no good substitute” for the greenback and therefore messing with it was “a bad plan.”

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Edward Alden, a senior fellow at the Washington, DC-based Council on Foreign Relations, a foreign policy think tank, thinks it unlikely that Trump will interfere with the Fed’s independence, given the risks such a move poses to the US economy.

Top Performing Indian Stocks Buy Signals From Financial Experts ✌️【Fund】✌️ Real-time stock market data, precise predictions, and investment strategies to help you optimize your portfolio and achieve financial success. Still, his actions duringa second presidential term are likely to be more extreme than during his first stint in the White House, when “there was an active group of more conventional Republicans working very hard to keep Trump from doing crazy things,” he told 【 - Free Stock Movement Tracking 】.

“None of those people are going to have a job in the second administration.” Nor will a possible reelection bid constrain him, since a US president can only serve two terms, he noted.

Top Performing Indian Stocks Buy Signals From Financial Experts ✌️【Fund】✌️ Free expert predictions on stock trends and real-time data to help you make informed decisions and grow your wealth steadily. Trump “is going to be much more unbound and he has a much better sense of how to work the bureaucracy to get his way,” Alden added. “What we’d see in Trump 2 is far more radical than what we saw in Trump 1.”

Top Performing Indian Stocks Buy Signals From Financial Experts ✌️【Fund】✌️ Accurate real-time market data and expert stock predictions for profitable investment opportunities in global markets. Most stock quote data provided by BATS. US market indices are shown in real time, except for the S&P 500 which is refreshed every two minutes. All times are ET. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. Chicago Mercantile: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and 【 - Free Stock Movement Tracking 】. Standard & Poor’s and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices Copyright S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and/or its affiliates. Fair value provided by IndexArb.com. Market holidays and trading hours provided by Copp Clark Limited.

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