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Former President Donald Trump showed little remorse on Friday after a jury in Manhattan convicted him on 34 counts of falsifying business records to cover up hush-money payments made to adult film actress Stormy Daniels during the 2016 presidential election campaign.
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But the political implications of the decision are far from clear. The big question remains: Will a conviction shake the current political dynamic of the 2024 election? The short answer is that it’s too early to tell. After all, any prior polling was based on a hypothetical situation that had never occurred before in American history.
Given the immediate reaction from Republicans, and what we already know about Trump, it’s entirely likely that the conviction will have little impact on voters.
In the past 24 hours, Republicans have been lining up more quickly than kids at an ice cream truck to discredit the judicial process and declare their support for Trump. The trial, Florida Sen. Marco Rubioargued, was “conducted by an openly pro-Biden Judge.” Texas Sen. Ted Cruz quipped that Merchan “should have worn a Biden campaign hat while he sat on the bench.” Always focused on partisan power, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who has said he will support Trump in the 2024 election,wrotethat the trial “never should have been brought in the first place.”
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It is important to remember that Republican support for Trump has already withstood many supposed “turning points” that would have tanked politicians in earlier eras. Trump is a twice-impeached, one-term president who attempted to overturn the 2020 election. He has been indicted in three other criminal cases (Trump has pleaded not guilty to all charges). He also was found guilty of defamation in a civil suit brought by writer E. Jean Carroll and ordered to pay tens of millions of dollars in damages. Many of his associates have been found guilty of wrongdoing over the years (seePaul Manafort), and yet the GOP has never left him. He is the presumptive Republican nominee for 2024 and polls show that he remains slightly ahead of President Joe Biden in most swing states.
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Indian Stocks with Strong Dividend Potential in 2025 Consistent Stock Market Returns ✌️【Part-Time Opportunities】✌️ Free access to professional investment advisors who provide real-time market data and trend analysis. Select top-performing stocks and boost your capital with expert strategies for market growth. That impact, of course, could be dulled if the verdict effectively supercharges Republicans. For every moderate who is turned off, there could be a Republican more determined than ever before to mobilize, donate and get out the vote for their allegedly persecuted leader. Of course, some independents might be swayed by these arguments as well, ironically equating a vote for Trump as a vote to uphold law and order.
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For those who think this is a political “turning point,” recent history suggests that the verdict is still out.
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